My understanding is that the ruling, if upheld, makes gay marriage legal. Specifically, the ruling wasn't about gay marriage--it was that you can't, by referendum, take away rights from people. So the ruling, if upheld, would simply void Prop 8 and restore the rights taken away by majority vote.
My guess? The Supremes decline to hear the case. Prop 8 has been found unconstitutional in two lower courts, and I bet the conservative justices will opt to decline a hearing rather than either rule against individual liberties or in favour of gay people. It gets their preferred answer--a vote against government denying civil liberties--without having to actually make a ruling.
no subject
Date: 2012-02-07 10:21 pm (UTC)My guess? The Supremes decline to hear the case. Prop 8 has been found unconstitutional in two lower courts, and I bet the conservative justices will opt to decline a hearing rather than either rule against individual liberties or in favour of gay people. It gets their preferred answer--a vote against government denying civil liberties--without having to actually make a ruling.
But we'll see, indeed.